NNT Calculation — SCE Medical Oncology MCQ
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Correct answer: A — Approximately 14 — NNT = 1/ARR = 1/(72%-65%) = 1/0.07 = 14.3; meaning 14 patients must be treated with drug A instead of drug B to prevent 1 additional death at 5 years
NNT is calculated as 1/ARR (absolute risk reduction). Here, ARR = 72% - 65% = 7% = 0.07. NNT = 1/0.07 = 14.3, rounded to 14. This means 14 patients need to receive drug A instead of drug B for one additional patient to be alive at 5 years. NNT provides a clinically intuitive measure of treatment benefit that is more meaningful than relative risk reduction or hazard ratios alone. NNT should always be interpreted alongside: treatment duration, toxicity (NNH — number needed to harm), cost and patient preferences.
Reference: JRCPTB Curriculum; ESMO Statistics; Altman et al BMJ 1998