Polygenic risk score — MRCPsych Paper A MCQ
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Correct answer: E — It indicates higher aggregate common-variant liability relative to the reference sample, but does not determine whether depression will occur
Explanation lettering: E = shown as A · D = shown as C · A = shown as D · C = shown as E
C is correct. A polygenic risk score combines the weighted effects of many common genetic variants, each usually contributing only a small effect. A score at the 95th percentile ranks genetic liability relative to the report's reference population; it is not a 95% absolute risk and does not make depression inevitable. Whether depression develops also depends on baseline population risk, ancestry and calibration of the score, and environmental and psychosocial factors. It therefore neither identifies a single highly penetrant mutation (B) nor diagnoses a depressive disorder without symptoms and clinical assessment (D). Environmental exposures are not incorporated into a genetic score (E). Current RCPsych guidance also notes the weak relationship between psychiatric polygenic scores and individual absolute risk and does not recommend them for routine clinical use or certain prediction of treatment outcome.
Reference: Royal College of Psychiatrists. College Report CR237: The role of genetic testing in mental health settings, sections 'Polygenic risk scores' and 'Summary of recommendations', 2023. https://www.rcpsych.ac.uk/docs/default-source/improving-care/better-mh-policy/college-reports/College-report-CR237---Genetic-testing-in-mental-health-settings.pdf