Key points
- Appraisal is not academic theatre: it is risk management for decision-making.
- Start by identifying the study type correctly (RCT, cohort, case-control, diagnostic accuracy, systematic review).
- Extract effect size + uncertainty; treat conclusions as marketing until proven otherwise.
- Use evidence hierarchy to decide how hard you need to work.
Step 0: Identify the study type (correctly)
The QuickCheck (12 questions)
1) What is the exact question?
2) What is the study design, and is it fit for purpose?
3) Who was included (and who was excluded)?
4) What was the comparator?
5) Were outcomes pre-specified and clinically meaningful?
6) How big is the effect (absolute, not just relative)?
7) How uncertain is the estimate?
8) What are the likely biases?
9) Are harms and trade-offs reported transparently?
10) Is the conclusion proportional to the data?
11) Funding and conflicts: what incentives exist?
12) Would this change practice (or just add trivia)?
Save your place and choose what comes next
Work through this guide (12 steps)
Use the actions from this article to track what you have worked through.
Sign in using the reading controls above to save your steps.
If you can’t state the question in one line, you will misread the paper.
Return to this sectionMatch design to question: therapy, prognosis, diagnosis, harm, prevalence.
Return to this sectionSelection drives generalisability. Look for convenience samples and hidden exclusions.
Return to this sectionNo meaningful comparator = weak inference, even if the stats look strong.
Return to this sectionBeware outcome switching and proxy outcomes that don’t map to what you care about.
Return to this sectionAbsolute risk and absolute benefit often change the interpretation dramatically.
Return to this sectionConfidence intervals matter. A narrow CI supports precision; a wide CI is “maybe.”
Return to this sectionConfounding, measurement bias, missing data, performance bias, reporting bias.
Return to this sectionIf harms are minimised or absent, you need a reason to trust the paper.
Return to this sectionStrong claims with weak designs are the most common pattern in low-quality literature.
Return to this sectionCOI doesn’t automatically invalidate results — but it changes your prior.
Return to this sectionIf it doesn’t change a decision, it is not worth deep time right now.
Return to this section
Study methods · Article 11 of 48